Unlocking the Possibility of Predicting Rare Disasters with Machine Learning

Machine learning can predict rare disasters like pandemics and earthquakes

The computational models are unable to predict the next disaster in advance because there is not enough information to make a prediction.

Researchers from Brown University, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and other institutions say that it does not have to be this way.

The scientists described in a recent study published in Nature Computational Sciences how they combined statistical algorithm — which require less data for accurate and efficient predictions — and a powerful machine-learning technique developed at Brown to train it to predict scenarios and probabilities, and sometimes the timeline, of rare events, despite their lack of historical records.

Source:
https://www.brown.edu/news/2022-12-19/extreme-events